The field of economic models and forecasting encompasses the development and application of theoretical, empirical and computational frameworks to predict future economic outcomes. These models range ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Quantitative Finance Program Director, at Stevens Inst. of Technology This is not a new diagnosis. There is today a hapless ...

CEO of Paul M. Wendee & Associates, LLC; Publisher of the Intrinsic Value Wealth Report Newsletter; Founder of the Value Driver Institute. To make sound business and investment decisions, business ...

It demonstrates the need for conducting research for periods separately, as each has its own macroeconomic characteristics. This data segregation assists in evaluating predictability in normal and ...

Will the world still need economists in 2030? With skin in the game, we certainly hope so — but artificial intelligence is already transforming economic analysis. In our own work — and in a review of ...

ATLANTA — The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDPNow model published a final projection for GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 on Tuesday at -2.7%. The forecast comes ahead of Wednesday's ...

ATLANTA — A model utilized by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta updated Thursday with a slightly improved economic forecast, though still more than 2% of GDP contraction. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow ...

Few industries are so sensitive to the whims of the economy as construction. Supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, inflation and regulation have left many businesses feeling as though they just ...

In the evolving ecosystem of prediction markets, Kalshi Inc. has quickly emerged as a significant force, recently highlighting research that positions its platform as a potentially superior tool for ...

Using data analytics to understand precious metals markets has become a key advantage for investors seeking more accurate forecasts. This article explores how d ...