The Federal Reserve Bank of New York regularly attempts to calculate the probability of a U.S. recession over the next 12 months using the difference between the 10-year and three-month Treasury rates ...

A labor market chart suggests a recession could still be in the cards this year. Unemployment rate trends have predicted recessions, according to Société Générale's Albert Edwards. A silver lining may ...

Financial literacy is improving, but it's important to recognize the limitations of our knowledge and the unpredictability of certain events. The yield curve is a popular tool for forecasting the ...

Indicators like GDP and unemployment show the economy remains intact. But forward-looking indicators continue to point to an imminent downturn. We've compiled 14 charts that show why investors should ...

Trade tensions have torn into the markets. With stocks sliding into correction territory in the last week, a question emerges: Is a recession next? Subscribe to read this story ad-free Get unlimited ...

High inflation and rising interest rates have pulled the S&P 500 index into a bear market. Bear markets have often preceded recessions during the last four decades, but the S&P 500 typically reached a ...

The Federal Reserve is keeping rates unchanged, but cuts are expected later in the year. Early signs of the US economy slowing down, including rising unemployment and weakening credit markets. History ...

Recession fears have cooled off in recent months as the US economy continues to prove resilient (did you see that GDP number?) and the Federal Reserve slashes interest rates. But a labor market chart ...