The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields inverted for the first time since 2019 on Thursday, sending a possible warning signal that a recession could be on the horizon. The bond market phenomenon means ...

The Federal Fund futures are pricing an aggressive policy easing to 2.8%, which is consistent with a recession. The 10Y yields have been falling, driven primarily by the falling real yields, which ...

As concerns about a potential U.S. recession grow, Deutsche Bank says investors should look towards the behavior of the Treasury yield curve. Historically, an inversion of the 2s10s yield curve – ...

Is a recession on the horizon? This video analyzes the yield curve and its historical accuracy in predicting economic downturns. Get insights into potential future economic trends.

Small caps lagged large caps for years—can 2026 be their breakout? See how yield curve steepening, looser conditions, and tight spreads matter—read now.

An economic indicator that has accurately predicted every recession for seven decades is flashing warning signs for 2026, ...

The yield curve will reveal the bond market's confidence in how the U.S. is handling monetary policy Financial markets are weighing the risk that U.S. interest rates now will be based on political ...

A short question: How do I ignore the noise in the markets? A recession has been predicted for the past several years, but the sky has not fallen (yet). Even with a slew of positive economic news, I ...

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Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide ...