How likely you think something is to happen depends on what you already believe about the circumstances. That is the simple ...

When scientists spot an asteroid whose trajectory might take it close to Earth, they monitor it frequently and calculate the probability that it might collide with our planet.

Taming chaos: Calculating probability in complex systems A new method efficiently transforms trajectories from dynamical systems into a finite set of variables Date: March 20, 2018 Source ...

It had to happen: the property bubble burst and the global financial market experienced its biggest crisis in the last hundred years. In retrospect, many suspected it was coming, but nobody could have ...

(The Conversation is an independent and nonprofit source of news, analysis and commentary from academic experts.) Toshi Hirabayashi, Georgia Institute of Technology (THE CONVERSATION) I was preparing ...