Discover why options market data suggests a lower crash risk for U.S. stocks than pundit surveys, and how to optimize asset allocation for better returns.

Interest Rate Probability Distributions Implied by Derivatives Prices is a daily measure of the distribution of future short-term interest rates, calculated from prices of fixed-income derivatives ...

The HBR Playbook on overcoming change fatigue and positioning your people for agility. by Ania W. Masinter The amount and pace of organizational change today is staggering. Gartner research found that ...

Sampling from probability distributions with known density functions (up to normalization) is a fundamental challenge across various scientific domains. From Bayesian uncertainty quantification to ...

The host invites you to pick a door, any door. Let’s say you pick door one. The host throws open one of the doors you did not select, revealing a goat. Then the host gives you the option of switching ...

Probability distribution is an essential concept in statistics, helping us understand the likelihood of different outcomes in a random experiment. Whether you’re a student, researcher, or professional ...

Quantum annealing (QA) can be competitive to classical algorithms in optimizing continuous-variable functions when running on appropriate hardware, show researchers from Tokyo Tech. By comparing the ...

The importance of financial readiness for Soldiers has become more important than ever. An initiative called Trusted Workforce 2.0, introduced in 2018 as a whole-of-government approach, is replacing ...

Dengue is a viral disease whose number of cases has increased in Brazil. This study aimed to characterize the spatio-temporal distribution patterns of the reported dengue infection cases in the state ...

The COS method was introduced in Fang & Oosterlee (2008) and then was applied to pricing a variety of stock options for continuous random variables. This paper adapts the Fourier-cosine series (COS) ...